The collective value of Euros, Polish zlotys, British pounds sterling and other European taxpayer money spent on Ukraine’s defense against Russian invasion substantially outweighs greenbacks forked over by the United States. And if the cost of helping millions of Ukrainian war refugees is taken into account, the Ukrainian support gap is massive and not in America’s favor, newly released data from a German research group said.

A new study of foreign assistance to Ukraine published by the Kiel Institute for the World Economy on Dec. 5 found that since the full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 the value of allocated American military assistance to date, to Ukraine, is equivalent to $63 billion. Total US assistance to Ukraine including financial aid and support to refugees over that time period ending in October 2024 was $83 billion.

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Other states’ combined allocated military assistance to Ukraine was $58 billion over the same period, about 8% less than the US’s, and total European assistance to Ukraine exclusive of refugee support was $131 billion, more than the US contribution by a bit more than a third, the report said.

European states led by Germany and Poland have, in addition, paid the equivalent of $137 billion to support an estimated 3.5 to 4 million Ukrainian war refugees, making the total European commitment to Ukraine, based on the dollar value of total money spent by European states in response to Russia’s invasion to Ukraine, about three times that of the US’s, that data showed.

Macron, Tusk to Discuss Ukraine Security Ahead of Poland’s EU Presidency
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Macron, Tusk to Discuss Ukraine Security Ahead of Poland’s EU Presidency

The two are set to discuss support for Ukraine ahead of Poland’s upcoming six-month rotating EU Council presidency and the inauguration of US President-elect Donald Trump in January.

Ukrainian refugee children are pictured as they sleep in a kindergarten in the 7th district of Budapest, Hungary, on April 18, 2023. Most Ukrainian refugees pass through Hungary quickly moving further west - but it can be unbearably tough for those who stay. (Photo by ATTILA KISBENEDEK / AFP)

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In terms of burden on individual taxpayers, the gap was reported to be even wider. Over the period January 2022 to June 2024 the most committed state to Ukraine’s defense, in terms of total taxpayer money compared to the size of the national economy was Denmark (1.83 percent of national GDP) followed by Estonia (1.66 percent) and Lithuania (1.43 percent).

The weight of supporting Ukraine on the average individual American taxpayer was, by that metric, about four or five times smaller (0.35 percent), slotting the superpower United States in between Belgium (0.36 percent) and Bulgaria (0.3 percent), that data showed.

The Kiel University findings overall documented burden-sharing nearly diametrically opposite to prevailing political narratives inside the United States, whose voters in November elected populist Republican candidate Donald Trump, in part, on a platform of ending exploitatively high US contributions to Ukrainian defense, while European states were, per Trump campaign speeches, paying next to nothing for the same thing.

(FILES) US President-elect Donald Trump speaks during a meeting with House Republicans at the Hyatt Regency hotel in Washington, DC on November 13, 2024. The Bahamas on December 5, 2024 said it had rejected a proposal from the incoming Trump administration to take in deported migrants, as the next US president seeks to follow up on pledges to tackle immigration. (Photo by ALLISON ROBBERT / POOL / AFP)

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End of Lend-Lease assistance from US

On Wednesday prevailing political winds in Washington came down to a clear, anti-Ukraine vote, with the Republican-controlled US House of Representatives passing draft legislation to end Lend-Lease assistance to Ukraine, and allocating only a tiny fraction of funding for US arms deliveries to Ukraine.

The Republican-led House on Wednesday passed the $895 billion 2025 national defense funding bill 281-140. The legislation authorized a 4.5 to 14.5 percent pay increase for service personnel and expansion of defense expenditures supporting deterrence of China and increased US worldwide deployment capacity.

However, no funding at all was allocated under the terms of the Ukraine Democracy Defense Lend-Lease Act of 2022, a law allowing the US President to transfer arms and ammunition from existing US military stocks rapidly and with minimum red tape. Lend-Lease legislation was a critical factor of Allied success in defeating Nazi Germany in World War II, by providing the British and Soviet militaries with massive deliveries of American weapons and military material.

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According to Oksana Markarova, Ukraine’s ambassador to the US, the only direct US defense funding for Ukraine in 2025 will be $300 million in direct military assistance under the terms of the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative (USAI) for fiscal year 2025.

The December congressional demolition of direct arms assistance to Ukraine is the culmination of months of American foot-dragging. From December 2023 to April 2024 the US cut off funding for all military support to Ukraine, because of Congressional disagreements, primarily over border reform.

Congress, in April 2024, approved slightly more than $60 billion in various forms of military assistance to Ukraine for that year, but, by December, only about half of what Congress had approved had been allocated by December, according to Pentagon statements.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in late October said American foot-dragging on military support to Ukraine had, in reality, delivered only about one-tenth of the assistance promised.

The US and other G7 states in November and December announced that funding for Western weaponry for Ukraine in 2025 and in the future should come largely from either the interest or principle of some $300 billion in Russian state funds held in Western financial institutions. The US Department of the Treasury on Wednesday announced that, for 2025, some $20 billion of Russian assets frozen in America would fund Ukrainian purchases of American weaponry and military services.

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A hardware assessment

Ukraine’s military after three years of conventional war against the Russian army has a generally positive view of American arms but considers some US weapons overly complicated, or more costly than comparable arms produced by other countries or Ukraine itself.

The most irreplaceable US weapons from the Ukrainian perspective are components of the Patriot air defense system which, to date, are the only means Ukrainian forces have of defending Ukrainian homes and businesses from Russian ballistic missile attacks.

A Patriot long-range air defence system of the German Bundeswehr armed forces is deployed at Vilnius Airport ahead of the upcoming NATO Summit in Vilnius ,Lithuania on July 7, 2023. (Photo by PETRAS MALUKAS / AFP)

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Also widely praised are American precision-guided rockets and missiles, which are seen as highly effective but orders of magnitude more costly than Ukrainian-manufactured long-range drones able to hit the same targets. US restrictions placed on Ukrainian use of American weapons, banning using them against portions of Russia, are another common Ukrainian criticism of these American strike systems.

Soldiers handle a US M1 Abrams tank during a Finnish Army mechanized exercise

Ukrainian frontline soldiers have found the American M1A1 Abrams tank effective on the battlefield but complicated and expensive to maintain, and not really better tactically than German Leopard 2 or British Challenger 2 tanks. Ukrainian-developed tanks like the T-64BV are considered serviceable but with less crew comforts and poorer gunnery systems. The Ukrainian tank costs about a third of the American vehicle.

Members of the US Army 1st Brigade, 1st Cavalry Division, drive Bradley Fighting Vehicles from the railway station near the Rukla military base in Lithuania, on October 4, 2014. AFP PHOTO / PETRAS MALUKAS (Photo by PETRAS MALUKAS / AFP)

America’s Bradley infantry fighting vehicle is widely accounted one of the best weapons for assault in the Ukrainian army’s inventory for its rugged armor and construction keeping soldiers alive even after heavy damage to the vehicle. However, Ukrainian assault infantrymen usually say the Swedish CV-90 infantry fighting vehicles are equally rugged, and that the BAE Systems product has a more powerful gun and better cross-country maneuverability.

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