ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 6, 2024

Key Takeaways from the ISW:

• Ukrainian forces are conducting a multi-day strike campaign against Russian military targets in occupied Crimea and have successfully struck several targets throughout the peninsula.
• A Russian milblogger argued that Russian forces need to improve planning and coordination at the tactical and operational levels so that Russian offensive operations can break out of the current positional warfare in Ukraine.
• Western provision of air defense systems and missiles to Ukraine in the near- and medium-term remain crucial for Ukraine’s development of a defense industrial base (DIB) that can sustain Ukraine’s war effort against Russia in the long-term.
• The Danish Ministry of Defense (MoD) announced on January 6 that it is delaying its first delivery of six F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine for up to six months.
• Russian and Ukrainian forces continued positional engagements along the entire line of contact on January 6.
• The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) continues efforts to incentivize service with the Russian military by advertising support for housing.
• Russian occupation authorities are struggling to provide basic services to residents of occupied areas of Ukraine.

Authors: Christina Harward, Riley Bailey, Grace Mappes, Karolina Hird, and Frederick W. Kagan.

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